Friday, May 20, 2011

The Battle Continues!

Another image from the 2008 MS River Floods. This is from Newman Road in Issaquena County

We've been under the influence of a ridge of high pressure which has been anchored over the Southeastern states for the past several days. This is what has kept us high and dry, and pretty warm and muggy too. A closed low out in the Great Plains is pushing a potent shortwave trough towards Mississippi. At this time, showers and thunderstorms, many of which have been severe are affecting portions of the Arklatex, but I expect this activity to fizzle out as it approaches the MS River by dawn. With that being said, there still remains a small chance of a stray shower or thunderstorm along the MS River when you wake up tomorrow- Jackson should stay dry tonight.

This same complex will produce an outflow boundary which will be important for tomorrow's forecast. All models are pointing to this boundary setting up somewhere in northern MS, along and/or north of HWY 82 tomorrow afternoon. This is where the best chance of thunderstorms exists tomorrow. Jackson has a slight chance of seeing some thunderstorm activity, but those chances really drop off as you head south of I-20. This complex should also create an area of clouds that we'll have to deal with first thing tomorrow morning, but I expect the sun to break out by late morning and into the afternoon, but it will certainly be another hot one!

For now, this will be the final battle between our two weather features- the sultry High and the potent Low. For the first part of next week, we'll see that ridge of high pressure strengthen and build back into our region, keeping us hot and steamy.

The next best chance of widespread rain arrives late Wednesday into Thursday.

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