Monday, June 4, 2012

Scattered Storms South Tomorrow

A slow-moving mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) has been tracking across north-central Mississippi this evening and has created a very compact area of strong thunderstorms. Looking north from the Jackson Metro this evening, you'll notice a vivid lightning show:

This disturbance is riding along a stationary boundary draped from central Arkansas, through north-central Mississippi, over into Alabama. Tomorrow, that stationary boundary will begin a slow southward migration as a cool front. This will be the focus for more scattered thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. 

The latest model data shows thunderstorm activity beginning along the I-20 corridor shortly after noon:

By 5PM, the stationary boundary will have moved closer to HWY 84, and the best chance for thunderstorms will be from Natchez to Brookhaven to Hattiesburg:

Keep in mind that any storms that do form could quickly become severe and contain straight-line, damaging wind gusts in excess of 60-70mph--strong enough to bring down trees and power lines--as well as vivid lightning and small hail. Locations that see the strongest storms could pick up a quick 1" of rain as well.

Once this front shifts to our south tomorrow afternoon, we'll enjoy a quick shot of less humid air for a day or  so, however, temperatures will remain near 90.

A more typical June-like patter returns by the weekend--highs in the low 90s, with slight chances for isolated afternoon thunderstorms each and every day.

Enjoy the rest of your week!



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